Gordon Guthrie Chang (章家敦; born 1951) is an American columnist, blogger, television pundit, author and lawyer. He is widely known for his book The Coming Collapse of China (2001), in which he wrote that the hidden nonperforming loans of the “Big Four” Chinese state banks would likely bring down China’s financial system and its communist government.
Chang has said that the Chinese government would collapse in 2012 and 2016. Shen Dingli, director of the Center for American Studies at Fudan University, wrote that Chang’s predictions “collapse his own credibility.”
In Nuclear Showdown: North Korea Takes on the World (2006), Chang says that North Korea is most likely to target Japan, not South Korea. He also says that North Korean nuclear ambitions could be forestalled if there were concerted multinational diplomacy, with some “limits to patience” backed up by threat of an all-out Korean war.
Chang is a contributor at The Daily Beast.
Chang was born in New Jersey to a Chinese father and an American mother of Scottish ancestry. His father is from Rugao, Jiangsu, China. Chang graduated from Columbia High School in Maplewood, New Jersey, in 1969, and served as class president in his senior year. Four years later, he graduated from Cornell University, where he was a member of the Quill and Dagger society, and graduated from the Cornell Law School in 1976.
He is a regular contributor to The John Batchelor Show, The Glenn Beck Program on Fox News, and CNN. He appeared as a special guest on Comedy Central’s The Daily Show with Jon Stewart on July 17, 2006. On February 3, 2010, he appeared on Al Jazeera English and argued that China does not have a lot of economic leverage over the United States. On November 24, 2010, he appeared on Imus in the Morning to discuss the Yeonpyeong artillery duel.
Chang says that China is on the brink of collapse and that the people are one step away from revolution. Chang also says that China is a “new dot-com bubble”, adding that the rapid growth by China is not supported by various internal factors such as decrease in population growth as well as slowing retail sales. In a separate interview, he remarked that China achieved its 149.2 percent of its current trade surplus with the United States through “lying, cheating, and stealing” and that if China decided to realize its threat that had been expressed since August 2007 to sell its US Treasuries, it would actually hurt its own economy which is reliant on exports to the United States; the economy of the United States would be hurt by a sell-off of Treasuries, causing the United States to buy less from China, which would in turn hurt the Chinese economy.
Chang often criticized South Korea’s pro-North Korean measures during President Moon Jae-in’s term. Chang criticized Moon Jae-in, calling him “dangerous” and said that Moon should be considered “North Korea’s agent.”Chang also asserted that Moon Jae-in is “subverting freedom, democracy, and South Korea.”
One critic says, “I think Gordon needs to reread the history about China, especially prior to and during the war with the foreign powers and with Japan. Though he lived in Shanghai and Hong Kong, he still seems to be an outsider with a pre-war American prospective of China. I suggest he read The China Mirage by James Bradley to better understand China. Whether he likes it or not, China is a part of his heritage.”
Edited by staff